1 Jan 2023
New beginnings bring new goals. Those goals, if in the form of New Year’s Resolutions, often bring about crowded gyms and more shopping around the edges of the grocery stores, if only for a little while. Goals can be intimidating and impose a degree of responsibility upon the goal-setter that may be uncomfortable once reality sets in.
In that event, it is always safe to settle for making predictions. If you’re right, like when I called the 2016 election perfectly in every state, you can talk about it forever. Without further ado, here are my Top 10 Predictions for 2023:
I. Election Integrity is and will Remain King
Regardless of how “under control” GOP legislatures think their state is when it comes to elections, nothing could be further from the truth. The miserable failure of the 2022 midterm only exacerbated the anger Americans felt after President Trump was wrongfully deprived of a second term just two short years ago.
Kari Lake’s slam-dunk case that was carelessly punted by a Maricopa County judge has only fueled the fire and rightly pissed off not only every patriot who has paid attention for the past two years, but now every rank and file Republican who has kicked the tires as to whether he or she should believe the so-called election deniers who have permeated their ranks one county party at a time.
My own “Four for the Core” county-level engagement plan has already garnered responses from patriots in more than one-eighth of county equivalents in the United States and underscores just how critical the elections issue is. If it is not fixed, we have no country, and no control over who it is who represents “We the People.”
II. Florida will Overtake Texas as the King Republican State
In 2012, Mitt Romney won Texas by 1.26 million votes, and lost Florida by 74,000, making the two states 1.3 million votes apart from a Republican perspective. In 2016, that last number tightened to 694,000, with Texas being won by Trump by a much narrower margin than in 2012, and Florida flipping.
In 2020, thanks to the massive election manipulation across the country and particularly in Texas, the two states were just 250,000 votes apart, with both sending Republican electors to the electoral college. However, Texas was the ninth closest state overall, and voted left of Ohio for the first time since 1976. Since Texas has done very little to shore up elections since 2020, and Florida has made some meaningful reforms (including making ballot harvesting a felony and the creation of an election crimes department), it is not a reach to anticipate that Florida, now with 30 electoral votes, will be won by the Republican nominee, presumably Donald Trump, by more votes and a larger margin than Texas, now with 40 electoral votes, will be.
Even Florida’s urban counties are taking a right turn, with few exceptions. The opposite is happening in Texas, where Austin, Houston, and Dallas are spilling over and contaminating adjacent counties, weakening their Republican margins, and thus, their reliability for electing local Republican governments and sending Republican representation to Austin.